just a game

Traveling

OK so I’ll be making moves in Europe.  I will go to Amsterdam, Paris, and Vienna.  I will be meeting up with my friends over there – and probably meeting some new choice people.

Yes – choice is now one of my favorite adjectives…  Think about it…

So it seems I’m going to leave you stranded on the part II post.  I’ll finish it off when I get back.  However, it will tie everything together and make Part I represent the introduction it was set out to be – instead of a ramble.

Until then…

-joe


Part I: Fault of Modern Economics Application and High Profile Rhodes Visitors

Bryan Kaplan came to Rhodes College last week. He packed out the auditorium and impressed the entire academic community. Every “renowned” social scientist and business professor at my school attended the lecture.

This is the guy who wrote “The Myth of the Rational Voter.” He discussed the major points of his famous book.

1) people do not understand how the pursuit of private profits often yield public benefits: anti-market bias.

2) people underestimate the benefits of interactions with foreigners: anti-foreign bias.

3) people equate prosperity with employment rather than productions: make-work bias.

4) people tend to think economic conditions are worse than they are: pessimism bias.

His major assumption is that when experts and non-experts disagree the expert is generally correct. (At the end of the lecture, the questions from professors were quite comical – they surely all felt themselves to be experts as well.)

He used the biases to explain how the general population makes decisions and as a means to refute that ignorant voters vote ignorantly. He called it rational irrationality. My labor teacher really liked that term – I wonder why…

I was far from impressed – despite his frail stage presence – his content was also LACKING.

Here’s the real bias he should have addressed – the faith bias. Let me first note that the faith bias has a major correlation with herd mentality.

Everyone places faith in something – even atheists. People will place faith in either an organized religion, a man made institution/movement, their friends, and/or their family.

For example, faith directed toward friends provides a point of reference for an individual. Organized religion allows a person to not only use the time proven institution as a point of reference but also all the other believers who follow same doctrine.

Friends can also direct a person’s opinion. If that person uses their friends as a point of reference, they may experience a positive mental reward from joining the movement or institution their friends belong to.

This faith brings ALL humans security. It allows us to think we are not crazy – that we’re not alone.

Many times, faith also keeps our minds from toiling over troublesome topics – such as the afterlife or moral responsibility.

Let’s face it, if the average person was left alone to create a workable society tabla rasa he would likely create something COMPLETELY DIFFERENT than the contemporary and more than likely it would be INEFFECTIVE.

Faith is an important part of all human’s genotypic expression – with phenotype corollaries.

Part II of this post will substantiate why Kaplan was off with his judgment. I will also go on to discuss a visit by the CEO of St Jude’s to Rhodes – a far less public event than Kaplan’s.  He gave a lecture on the Human Genome Project – which applies to Kaplan’s faulty assumptions and my point.  I will also attack current economic practices that are hindering the advancement of the field.

People need to open their eyes.


Facebook unintentional blunder – I’m not from Alabama!

So I looked at my facebook profile and realized I was now from Long Island, AL. I scrolled down and noticed the rest of my profile was intact – it wasn’t one of my hysterical friends.

I had Long Island, NY listed as my hometown – it’s a geographic location which I felt provided more insight about where I come from rather than having Franklin Square.

Now facebook forces you to pick from a predefined list. I can no longer be from Long Island, NY.

They may be trying to index users off their hometowns to leverage a discovery device. Time will tell.

*** Edit: Here are comments I made.

I was thinking that by indexing hometowns they could use it as a way to leverage their data.

If all parts of a profile could be cross section analyzed there would be tremendous potential for discovery of “friends you never knew you had… or services you never knew you would enjoy…”

However, I doubt they could appropriately cross section the whole profile to create substantial leverage until the semantic web has advanced further along.

The hometown thing could just be as simple as cutting out classmates.com. There’s several ways to go with it.

an example of discovery would be:

as mobile progresses – it could introduce you to people from your hometown who live near by and engage in similar tasks.


Cynics

OK – so I’ve been called cynical by many people. They’ve falsely asserted that I’m overly pessimistic. This pisses me off to no end. I think they are simpletons.

Let me tell you who the real cynics are – all the people that believe if they don’t live life in a specific style that they will later endure eternal damnation, pain, suffering, and misery.

Well, I mean we can also label them narcissistic – but everyone wishes they count for something – so I can’t necessarily chastise them for that.


Obama

With his powerful populist campaign, I’m assuming Obama will successfully win the national election. Obama is for change and if you don’t want Obama, you’re against change! He hasn’t convinced me, but the general population seems lured by the bait. I am genuinely concerned.

I’m sure he’s going to start throwing the word economy around more often. His campaign advisers seem on point with the voters.

But do the voters REALLY all know what’s up with the economy? Nope – neither did educated professionals working for the major investment banks…


Auction Rate Securities (ARS)

So a certain investment bank – that will remain nameless – has been giving out a lot entry level jobs to Rhodes and University of Memphis students.

They are enticing these entry level analysts to invest their bonus and part of their starting salary in ARS at a 15% rate which has a minimum of $25k. The deal seems too good to be true – the Fed interest rate is 3%.

From what I understand, it seems these kids are just going to lose their money since the banks and their insurers are INSOLVENT (the i-banks were NOT properly hedged like they assumed).

I don’t even necessarily think all of them will still have their jobs in a year – especially since Memphis is the second biggest bond market in our nation.

Anyone have any more insight?


Information age

Feb 21
1 Comment

Information and disinformation are readily available all over the internet. I truly believe that access to all information as a collective should be free. However, it’s the provided focus that should and needs to be monetized – these models will offer the greatest competitive advantage.

There are multiple ways to monetize the focus of information – providing a platform for educational vehicles that gives them incentive to provide a specific focus in an organized format is a winner.

Remember, it’s not what you know, it’s what you consider. That’s the recipe for successful decision making.


Media Targeting: MTV Memphis 12AMish

“Don’t waste your refund, come to Under 200.” offering used rental cars for $200 a month. If the rebate to a tax payer at that bracket is $ 300, Under 200 seems to be offering a fraudulent trap. Is this another insured cash flow to be leveraged off in the future?

You think these guys should have already been erased by market knowledge? Nope – not in Memphis at least.


school

Currently, I feel college is an intellectual tax. I have work that I need to be doing – none of which is profound nor directly interesting. Consequently, the hanging burden continues to provide anxiety.

My free thought is being restricted and my creative capacity is mildly inhibited.

Secondly, this city is dirty and inefficient..


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